MadStocks Learn Lesson 5
Level 1 — Lesson 5 of 6 ⏱ 6 min read

Where is the
money actually flowing?

Not all stocks move together. Even in a bull market, some areas of the market are being quietly sold while others are surging. Sectors let you see that instantly — and find your trades in the right neighborhood.

⚡ 30-second answer

The S&P 500 is divided into 11 sectors — groups of companies with similar business activities. Each sector has its own ETF, institutional following, and performance cycle. The key insight: a good stock in a strong sector will outperform the same stock in a weak sector. Before picking any stock, find the two or three sectors with the strongest relative momentum and fish there. The MadStocks sector heatmap shows you this at a glance.

Why sectors matter before stock selection

Institutional investors — the funds that move markets — allocate capital at the sector level first. A pension fund doesn’t decide to buy Apple and then discover it’s in technology. It decides how much to allocate to technology, and then selects the best names within it.

This top-down flow means sector strength precedes individual stock strength. When money rotates into a sector, most stocks inside it get lifted. When money exits, even strong individual companies get dragged down with the tide.

Rule of thumb: Studies show roughly 50% of a stock’s movement is explained by the performance of its sector. Find a strong sector first, then find the strongest stock within it — and you have two tailwinds instead of fighting one headwind.

The 11 GICS sectors

The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) divides the market into 11 sectors. Each has a widely-traded ETF you can use to track it:

XLK Information Technology

Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, TSMC, Broadcom. Hardware, software, semiconductors, IT services.

Cyclical
XLV Health Care

UnitedHealth, J&J, Eli Lilly, Pfizer. Pharmaceuticals, biotech, medical devices, managed care.

Defensive
XLF Financials

JPMorgan, Berkshire, Visa, Goldman. Banks, insurance, asset managers, payment networks.

Cyclical
XLY Consumer Discretionary

Amazon, Tesla, Home Depot, Nike. Autos, retail, restaurants, travel, luxury goods.

Cyclical
XLC Communication Services

Alphabet (Google), Meta, Netflix, T-Mobile. Social media, streaming, telecom, advertising.

Cyclical
XLI Industrials

Boeing, Honeywell, Caterpillar, FedEx. Aerospace, defense, machinery, construction, logistics.

Cyclical
XLP Consumer Staples

Procter & Gamble, Costco, Coca-Cola, Walmart. Food, beverages, household products, tobacco.

Defensive
XLE Energy

ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Schlumberger. Oil & gas exploration, production, pipelines, services.

Cyclical
XLB Materials

Linde, Freeport-McMoRan, Air Products, Nucor. Chemicals, metals, mining, paper, forest products.

Cyclical
XLRE Real Estate

Prologis, American Tower, Equinix, Simon Property. REITs, real estate management and development.

Rate-sensitive
XLU Utilities

NextEra Energy, Duke Energy, Southern Company. Electric, gas, and water utilities.

Defensive

Cyclical vs defensive: two very different jobs

The 11 sectors split broadly into two camps. Understanding which camp a sector belongs to tells you when it should be leading — and where to look depending on the current market regime.

📈 Cyclical sectors

  • Performance tied to economic growth
  • Outperform in bull markets and expansions
  • Hurt most in recessions
  • Tech, Financials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services, Energy, Materials

🟢 Defensive sectors

  • Stable demand regardless of economic cycle
  • Outperform (or fall less) in bear markets
  • Lower volatility, often dividend-paying
  • Consumer Staples, Utilities, Health Care

Quick read on regime: When cyclical sectors (especially Tech and Consumer Discretionary) are the leaders on the sector heatmap, it signals confidence. When defensives (Utilities, Staples) take the top spots, it signals risk-off rotation — the market is hedging.

How to use the sector heatmap

MadStocks’s sector heatmap shows the daily performance and breadth of all 11 sectors at a glance. Breadth tells you how many individual stocks inside each sector are advancing vs declining. Here is a simple workflow:

  1. Find the top 2–3 sectors by daily % change with strong breadth. A sector that is up 1.5% with 80% of its stocks advancing is genuinely strong. A sector up 1.5% with only 40% advancing is being carried by a handful of large caps — treat it with caution.
  2. Watch the A / D (advancers vs decliners) count. High advancers = real, broad participation. High unchanged count = indecision and low conviction. Avoid putting fresh money into sectors where most stocks are flat.
  3. Watch what is rotating out. If Energy was the top sector yesterday but has dropped to the bottom today, that is a rotation signal. Money is moving somewhere else. Don’t fall in love with yesterday’s leaders.
  4. Match the sector to the regime and VIX. In a bull regime with low VIX: lean into cyclical leaders. In a neutral or bear regime with elevated VIX: even strong cyclical sectors can reverse fast. Size down accordingly.

Sector breadth: the number that matters most

Beyond raw price change, you want to know how many stocks inside a sector are actually up. This is called breadth. A sector can show a positive % change while most of its stocks are actually falling — because two or three large-cap names are dragging the ETF price up.

The MadStocks heatmap shows advancers vs decliners for each sector every session. Focus on sectors that are (1) showing a positive daily change AND (2) have strong breadth (60%+ advancing). Those are the sectors with genuine institutional participation — not just a few giant names masking weakness underneath.

See the sector heatmap live

Check the current sector heatmap before every trading session to orient yourself.

MadStocks sector heatmap showing 11 sectors color-coded by performance with top-performing sectors highlighted
🏭

See today’s heatmap on the MadStocks Sector Heatmap

Sector Heatmap on MadStocks. All 11 sectors are color-coded by performance. Green = leading, red = lagging. The darker the color, the more pronounced the move. Use this to identify where institutional money is flowing today.

Open the sector heatmap now

Open Sector Heatmap →

Next in the path

🔃
Lesson 6: Follow the money through the cycle
Sector rotation — how capital moves predictably between sectors as the economic cycle turns, and how to stay on the right side.